WP1: Seismic hazard and risk assessment of spatially Distributed Network Systems (DNS)

Published WoS

Candia, G., Macedo, J., Jaimes M., & Magna‐Verdugo, C. (2019). “A New State‐of‐the‐Art Platform for Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment.” Seismological Research Letters 90(6): 2262–75. DOI: 10.1785/0220190025

Candia, G., Poulos, A., de la Llera, J. C., Crempien, J. G., & Macedo, J. (2020). “Correlations of spectral accelerations in the Chilean subduction zone”. Earthquake Spectra, 8755293019891723. DOI: 10.1177/8755293019891723

Jaimes, M. & Candia, G. (2019). “Interperiod Correlation Model for Mexican Interface Earthquakes”. Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 35, No. 3, pp. 1351-1365. DOI: 10.1193/080918EQS200M

Jaimes, M. & Candia, G. (2019). “Seismic risk of sliding ground-mounted rigid equipment”. Engineering Structures, Volume 204, 2020, 110066, DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2019.110066

Macedo, J., & Candia, G. (2020). “Performance-based assessment of the seismic pseudo-static coefficient used in slope stability analysis”. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 133, 106109. DOI: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2020.106109

Macedo, J., Candia, G., Lacour, M., & Liu, C. (2020). “New developments for the performance-based assessment of seismically-induced slope displacements”. Engineering Geology, 105786. DOI: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2020.105786

Miranda, S., Miranda, E., & de la Llera, J. C. (2020). “The effect of spectral shape on damping modification factors”. Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 36(4), 2086-2111. DOI: 10.1177/8755293020936691

Montgomery, J., Candia, G., Lemnitzer, A. & Martinez, A. (2019). “The September 19, 2017 Mw 7.1 Puebla-Mexico City earthquake: Observed rockfall and landslide activity”. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, Volume 130, 2020, 105972, DOI: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2019.105972

Poulos, A., Monsalve, M., Zamora, N., & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “An Updated Recurrence Model for Chilean Subduction Seismicity and Statistical Validation of Its Poisson Nature”. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 109, No. 1, pp. 66–74, DOI: 10.1785/0120170160

Yang, S., Mavroeidis, G. P., de la Llera, J. C., Poulos, A., Aguirre, P., Rahpeyma, S., Sonnemann, T., & Halldorsson, B. (2019). “Empirical site classification of seismological stations in Chile using horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios determined from recordings of large subduction-zone earthquakes”. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 125, 105678. DOI: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2019.05.01

Under review WoS

Castro, S., Benavente, R., Crempien, J., Candia, G. & de la Llera, J. C. “A Consistently Processed Strong Motion Database for Chilean Earthquakes”

Fernández, C., Nozu, A., de la Llera, J. C. & Crempien, J. “Strong ground motion simulation of the 2015 Illapel earthquake using modified empirical Green’s functions”. Submitted to Seismological Research Letters.

Fortuño, C., de la Llera, J. C., González, G., González, J. & Aguirre, P. “Rupture parameter sensitivity of low frequency ground motion response spectra using synthetic scenarios in North Chile”

Conference with editorial committee

Aguirre, P., Fortuño, C. & de la Llera, J. C. (2017). “Slip model and synthetic broadband ground motions for the 2015 Mw 8.3 Illapel (Chile) earthquake”. Proceedings of the 2017 AGU Fall Meeting in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.

Candia, G., Macedo, J. & Magna-Verdugo, C. (2018). “An integrated platform for seismic hazard evaluation”. Proceedings of the 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Los Angeles, California, USA.

Candia, G., Lyon, B., Macedo, J. & Cornejo, R. (2020). “Seismic fragility functions of metro tunnels”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Poulos, A., Monsalve, M., Zamora, N. & de la Llera, J. C. (2018). “Statistical assumptions of mainshock sequences and their validity under different magnitude ranges”. Proceedings of 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Thessaloniki, Greece.

WP2: Vulnerability, risk, and resilience evaluation of three DNS

Published WoS

Aguirre, P., Vásquez, J., de la Llera, J. C., González, J. & González, G. (2018). “Earthquake damage assessment for deterministic scenarios in Iquique, Chile”. Natural Hazards, 92, 1433–1461. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3258-3

Araya-Letelier, G., Parra, P. F., López-García, D., García-Valdés, A., Candia, G. & Lagos, R. (2019). “Collapse risk assessment of a Chilean dual wall-frame reinforced concrete office building”. Engineering Structures, 183, 770–779. DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2019.01.006

Espinoza, S., Poulos, A., Rudnick, H., de la Llera, J. C., Panteli, M. & Mancarella, P. (2020). “Risk and Resilience Assessment With Component Criticality Ranking of Electric Power Systems Subject to Earthquakes”. IEEE Systems Journal, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 2837-2848, June 2020, DOI: 10.1109/JSYST.2019.2961356.

Favier, P., Poulos, A., Vásquez, J., Aguirre, P. & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Seismic Risk Assessment of an Emergency Department of a Chilean Hospital Using a Patient-Oriented Performance Model”. Earthquake Spectra, Volume 35, No. 2, pages 489–512. DOI: 10.1193/103017EQS224M

Jaimes, M. & Candia, G. (2018). “Toppling of rigid electric equipment during earthquakes”. Engineering Structures 168, 229–242. DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2018.04.083

Rossetto T., De la Barra C., Petrone C., de la Llera J. C., Vásquez J., & Baiguera M. (2019). “Comparative assessment of nonlinear static and dynamic methods for analyzing building response under sequential earthquake and tsunami”. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 1–21. DOI: 10.1002/eqe.3167

Tagle, S., Jünemann, R., Vásquez, J., de la Llera, J. C., & Baiguera, M. “Performance of a reinforced concrete (RC) wall building subjected to sequential earthquake and tsunami loading”. Engineering Structures (accepted for publication).

Vásquez, J., Jünemann, R., de la Llera, J. C., Hube, M. & Chacón, M. (2020). “Three-dimensional nonlinear response history analyses for earthquake damage assessment: A reinforced concrete wall building case study”. Earthquake Spectra, Volume: 37 issue: 1, page(s): 235-261. DOI: 10.1177/8755293020944180

Under review WoS

Alberto, Y., de la Llera, J. C., Aguirre, P. & Monsalve, M. “Damage to the Water Systems in the Maule (2010), Christchurch (2010-2011), and Tohoku (2011) Earthquakes”

Allen, E., Chamorro, A., Poulos, A., Castro, S., de la Llera, J. C. & Echaveguren, T. “Probabilistic Risk Model for Road Networks in Terms of Travel Time Delays”

Gallardo, J., de la Llera, J. C., Santa Maria, H. & Chacón, M. “Damage and sensitivity analysis of a reinforced concrete wall building during the 2010, Chile earthquake”.

Conference with editorial committee

Alberto, Y. & de la Llera, J. C. (2018). “Effect of the Seismic Vulnerability of Water Pipelines on the Collapsible Soils of the North of Chile”. New Developments in Materials for Infrastructure Sustainability and the Contemporary Issues in Geo-environmental Engineering. GeoChina 2018. Sustainable Civil Infrastructures. Springer, Cham. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-95774-6_4

Castro, S., Arróspide, S., Poulos, A., Alberto, Y. & de la Llera, J. C. (2020). “Construction and risk evaluation of a water distribution network under seismic hazard in central Chile”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Chacón, M., de la Llera, J. C., Hube, M. & Celentano, D. (2019). “Epistemic uncertainty of plane-stress continuum concrete models”. Proceedings of the XII Congreso Chileno de Sismología e Ingeniería Sísmica in Valdivia, Chile.

Chacón, M., de la Llera, J. C., Hube, M. & Celentano, D. (2020). “Comparison of 3D stress-strain concrete models”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

De la Llera, J. C., Monsalve, M., Ferrario, E., Allen, E., Chamorro, A., Castro, S., Alberto, Y., Arróspide, F., Poulos, A., Candia, G. & Aguirre, P. (2020). “Earthquake response sensitivity of complex infrastructure networks”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Echeverria, M. J. & Jünemann, R. (2020). “Characterization of fish-bone type RC wall buildings through analytical fragility functions”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Ferrario, E., Poulos, A., de la Llera, J. C., Lorca, A., Oneto, A. & Magnere, C. (2019). “Representation and modeling of the Chilean electric power network for seismic resilience analysis”. Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL, in Hannover, Germany. DOI: 10.3850/981-973-0000-00-0

Gallardo, J., de la Llera, J. C., Santa María, H. & Chacón, M. (2020). “Uncertainty in the inelastic behavior of reinforced concrete walls due to material properties”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Jünemann, R., Vásquez, J., de la Llera, J. C. & Hube, M. (2018). “Three dimensional inelastic models to assess earthquake damage of reinforced concrete wall buildings”. Proceedings of the 11th US National Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Los Angeles, California, USA.

Langlade, T., Bertrand, D., Grange, S. & Candia, G. (2019). “Modélisation 2D d’entrechoquement de structures par une méthode de complémentarité”. Proceedings of 10th Colloque National AFPS in Strasbourg, France.

Merino, Y., Vásquez, A., González, J. & Araya, V. (2020). “Healthcare centers and older people in the context of disasters in Chile: Integrating perspectives for resilience to earthquakes”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Muñoz, J. P., de la Llera, J. C., Poulos, A., Vásquez, J. & Rossetto, T. (2020). “A calibrated simplified model for plane and regular R/C moment resisting frames”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Tagle, S., Jünemann, R., Vásquez, J. & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Double pushover analysis of a RC wall building subjected to earthquake and tsunami in sequence”. Proceedings of the XII Congreso Chileno de Sismología e Ingeniería Sísmica in Valdivia, Chile.

Vásquez, J., Jünemann, R., de la Llera, J. C., Hube, M. & Tagle, S. (2019). “Earthquake damage assessment of reinforced concrete wall buildings using inelastic models”. Proceedings of the XII Congreso Chileno de Sismología e Ingeniería Sísmica in Valdivia, Chile.

WP3: Graphical model synthesis of distributed interdependent physical networks

Published WoS

Monsalve, M. & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Data-driven estimation of interdependencies and restoration of infrastructure systems”. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 181, 167–180. DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2018.10.005

Conference with editorial committee

Monsalve, M., Benavente, R. & Urrutia, A. (2019). “Pitfalls Associated with Bayesian Model Averaging for Risk Assessments”. Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL, in Hannover, Germany. DOI: 10.3850/981-973-0000-00-0 main

Monsalve, M., Ferrario, E., Alberto, Y., Arróspide, F., Castro, S., Poulos, A. & de la Llera, J. C. (2020). “Evaluating Network Reduction Strategies for Consistent Risk Assessment of Critical Infrastructures”. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, ESREL-PSAM, in Venice, Italy. DOI: 978-981-14-8593-0

Monsalve, M. & de la Llera, J. C. (2018). “New models for estimating interdependencies and recovery of infrastructure systems”. Proceedings of 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Monsalve, M. & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Hidden Markov models for estimating the restoration of interdependent infrastructure systems”. Proceedings of the XII Congreso Chileno de Sismología e Ingeniería Sísmica in Valdivia, Chile.

Monsalve, M. & de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Identifying Critical Components in Power Distribution Networks using Graph Theoretical Measures”. Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL, in Hannover, Germany. DOI: 10.3850/978-981-11-2724-3 0662-cd

WP4: The problem of two-cities (shake-out scenario): DNS risk and resilience at urban scale

Published WoS

Castro, S., Poulos, A., Herrera, J. C., de la Llera, J. C. (2019). “Modeling the Impact of Earthquake-Induced Debris on Tsunami Evacuation Times of Coastal Cities”. Earthquake Spectra, Volume 35, No. 1, pages 137–158. DOI: 10.1193/101917EQS218M

de la Llera J. C., Muñoz J. P., Besa J. J. (2019). “A design procedure for buildings equipped with energy dissipation devices using nonclassical damping and iso‐performance curves”. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 48:210–231. DOI: 10.1002/eqe.3132

Haghpanah, F., Schafer, B. and Castro, S. (2021) “Application of Bug Navigation Algorithms for Large-Scale Agent-Based Evacuation Modeling to Support Decision Making”. Fire Safety Journal (in press). DOI: 10.1016/j.firesaf.2021.103322

León, J., Castro, S., Mokrani, C. & Gubler, A. (2020). “Tsunami evacuation analysis in the urban built environment: a multi-scale perspective through two modeling approaches in Viña del Mar, Chile”. Coastal Engineering Journal, DOI: 10.1080/21664250.2020.1738073

Olivares, C., de la Llera, J. C. & Poulos, A. (2020). “Torsion control in structures isolated with the triple friction pendulum system”. Engineering Structures, 216, 110503. DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2020.110503

Palazzi, N. C., Rovero, L., de la Llera, J. C. & Sandoval, C. (2019). “Preliminary Assessment on Seismic Vulnerability of Masonry Churches in Central Chile”. International Journal of Architectural Heritage, DOI: 10.1080/15583058.2019.1570388

Palazzi, N. C., Favier, P., Rovero, L., Sandoval, C. & de la Llera, J. C. (2020). “Seismic damage and fragility assessment of ancient masonry churches located in central Chile”. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 18, pages 3433–3457. DOI: 10.1007/s10518-020-00831-1

Poulos, A., Tocornal, F., de la Llera, J. C. & Mitrani-Reiser, J. (2018). “Validation of an agent-based building evacuation model with a school drill”. Transportation Research Part C, 97, 82–95. DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2018.10.010

Reyes, S. and Almazán, J. L. (2020). “A novel device for a vertical rocking isolation system with uplift allowed for industrial equipment and structures”. Engineering Structures, 214, 110595. DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2020.110595

Westenenk, B., Edwards, J. J., de la Llera, J. C. & Jünemann, R. (2019). “Self-Centering Frictional Damper (SCFD)”. Engineering Structures, 197, 109425. DOI: 10.1016/j.engstruct.2019.109425

Under review WoS

Ferrario, E., Poulos, A., Castro, S., de la Llera, J. C., & Lorca, A. “Predictive capacity of topological measures in evaluating seismic risk and resilience of electric power networks”.

Marulanda, M., de la Llera, J. C., Bernal, G. A., & Cardona, O. D. “Epistemic uncertainty in probabilistic estimates of seismic risk resulting from multiple hazard models”

Marulanda, M., de la Llera, J. C., & Cardona, O. D. “A Macroeconomic Disaster Risk Analysis: The Case Study of Chile”.

Miranda, S., Miranda, E., & de la Llera, J. C. “A Simplified and Versatile Element Model for Elastomeric Seismic Isolation Bearings”

Miranda, S., Miranda, E., & de la Llera, J. C. “Uncertainty on measurement of elastomeric isolators effective properties”

Conference with editorial committee

Aguirre, P., Vásquez, A., Vásquez, J. & de la Llera, J. C. (2018). “The Emergency Healthcare Network in Santiago, Chile: A Model of Seismic Vulnerability and Functional Interdependencies for Assessment of Earthquake Resilience”. 8th International Conference on Building Resilience in Lisbon, Portugal.

Castro, S., Poulos, A., Urrutia, A., Herrera, J. C., Cienfuegos, R. & de la Llera, J. C. (2018). “Impact of earthquake magnitude on the estimation of tsunami evacuation casualties”. Proceedings of the 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Los Angeles, California, USA.

De la Llera, J. C., Rivera, F., Gil, M. & Schwarzhaupt, U. (2018). “Mitigating risk through R&D+Innovation: Chile’s national strategy for disaster resilience”. Proceedings of 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Ferrario, E., Monsalve, M., Poulos, A., de la Llera, J. C. & Sansavini, G. (2020). “Estimating the impact of earthquake-induced power outages on different economic sectors in Chile”. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, ESREL-PSAM in Venice, Italy. DOI: 10.3850/981-973-0000-00-0 esrel2020psam15-paper

Marulanda, M., de la Llera, J. C. & Cardona, O. D. (2020). “A macro-economic perspective of disaster risk analysis”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Marulanda, M., de la Llera, J. C., Bernal, G. A. & Cardona, O. D. (2020). “Uncertainty range in probabilistic seismic risk metrics resulting from multiple hazard models”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.

Muñoz, J. P., de la Llera, J. C. & Besa, J. J. (2019). “A comprehensive design methodology for supplemental seismic protection”. Proceedings of the XII Congreso Chileno de Sismología e Ingeniería Sísmica in Valdivia, Chile.

Palazzi, N. C., Rovero, L., Tonietti, U., de la Llera,a J. C. & Sandoval, C. (2018). “Kinematic limit analysis of Basílica del Salvador, a significant example of neo-gothic architecture in Santiago, Chile”. Proceedings of 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Palazzi, N. C., Rovero, L., Tonietti, U., de la Llera,a J. C. & Sandoval, C. (2018). “Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Unreinforced Masonry Churches in Central Chile”. Structural Analysis of Historical Constructions pp 1172-1181. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-99441-3_126

Reyes, S., Almazán, J. L., Colombo, J. I., Tapia, N. & de la Llera, J. C. (2020). “Shaking table tests on full-scale legged liquid storage tanks protected with a vertical-rocking isolation system”. Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Sendai, Japan.